James Bond must have had thousands of bullets aimed at him over the course of his movie career. He must be the most shot-at fictional film hero of all. Can anybody calculate the odds of him not having taken a fatal hit over the past five decades? Surely they are astronomical.
• There is some ambiguity over how many gunshots have been fired at James Bond because, in many gunfights, it is not clear who the shots are aimed at. However, by my reckoning, in the 22 Bond films to date, there have been at least 4662 shots fired at our hero. A static well-aimed shot would almost certainly have proved lethal, but assuming all 4662 were "on the run", the probability of a single fatal shot is about 5 per cent. That is, the chance of a single shot missing is 0.95, and hence the probability of all shots missing is 0.954662 or 1.4 × 10-104, which is as close to zero as makes no difference.
Apart from gunshots there have been 130 dastardly attempts to kill Bond. Factor that in, and you have a really small probability. For the record, Bond has also slain 198 villains, creating yet another bizarre improbability.
Gordon Stanger, Solomon Islands
What is even more remarkable about the statistics involved here, is that somebody has bothered to count the shots fired at Bond – Ed
Mr. Bond is supposed to avoid hit like this:
However the turth may be like this:
Via: New Scientist